Sabtu, 26 April 2014

[Y942.Ebook] PDF Download Tamerlane: Sword of Islam, Conqueror of the World, by Justin Marozzi

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Tamerlane: Sword of Islam, Conqueror of the World, by Justin Marozzi

Tamerlane, aka Temur-the Mongol successor to Genghis Khan-ranks with Alexander the Great as one of the world's great conquerors, yet the details of his life are scarcely known in the West. Born in obscurity and poverty, he rose to become a fierce tribal leader, and with that his dominion and power grew with astonishing speed. He blazed through Asia, razing cities to the ground. He tortured conquered inhabitants without mercy, sometimes ordering them buried alive, at other times decapitating them. Over the ruins of conquered Baghdad, Tamerlane had his soldiers erect a pyramid of 90,000 enemy heads. As he and his armies swept through Central Asia, sacking, and then rebuilding cities, Tamerlane gradually imposed an iron rule and a refined culture over a vast territory-from the steppes of Asia to the Syrian coastline. Justin Marozzi traveled in the footsteps of this fearsome emperor of Samarkand (modern-day Uzbekistan) to write this book, which is part history, part travelogue. He carefully follows the path of this infamous and enigmatic conqueror, recounting the history and the story of this cruel, cultivated, and indomitable warrior.

  • Sales Rank: #450752 in Books
  • Published on: 2006-02-27
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 1.50" h x 6.40" w x 9.04" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 480 pages

From Publishers Weekly
By the time of his death in 1405, the Mongol conqueror Tamerlane-a pejorative derivative of the nickname "Temur the Lame"-commanded as much land and fear as any ruler in history. Literally following in the footsteps of Ghengis Khan, he built his empire with one invasion after the next, eventually amassing a kingdom that stretched "from Moscow to the Mediterranean, from Delhi to Damascus." Nonetheless, Tamerlane remains relatively unknown in the Western world, taking a historical backseat to Ghengis despite a reign and ruthlessness every bit as remarkable. Faced with such a complex and underreported subject, Marozzi delivers an exceptional account of the emperor's life, revealing him to be both an extravagantly merciless tyrant and tireless proponent for the cultural and architectural progress in his beloved Samarkand (in modern day Uzbekistan). One peculiar choice, however, is the book's subtitle, as Tamerlane killed tens of thousands of his fellow Muslims along his so-called "pilgrimage of destruction," including a particularly bloody massacre of Baghdad that left 90,000 dead, "their heads cemented into 120 towers." The subtitle certainly wasn't chosen for a lack of nicknames, as Tamerlane's life produced plenty: "Lord of the Fortunate Conjunction." "Emperor of the Age." "Unconquered Lord of the Seven Climes." "Scourge of God." The list goes on, too, leading one to wonder how it is that such a large part of the world hardly recognizes name.
Copyright � Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

From The New Yorker
This revisionist history traces the rise of the fourteenth-century warlord Temur -- known in the West as Tamerlane -- from a crippled peasant boy wandering the steppe to ruler of half the known world. Marozzi asserts that while Temur, like Genghis Kahn, specialized in razing cities and slaughtering their inhabitants, he also had the wisdom to rebuild, and Islamic art and architecture flourished on his watch. Marozzi quotes widely from contemporaneous accounts, relishing the fantastical detail. In India, for example, Temur countered the armored elephants of Delhi with "roaring camels on fire," then had the defeated beasts brought before him and forced to kneel. Along the way, Marozzi makes a pilgrimage through Temur's former empire, and argues that the Soviets outdid the warlord in destruction by turning the once fertile basin of Central Asia into a dust bowl.
Copyright � 2006 The New Yorker

From Booklist
A nomadic mass of destruction, Tamerlane (1336-1405) was just sedentary enough to leave behind, in addition to his signature monuments of piled skulls, the great Islamic architecture of Samarkand. Marozzi is an up-and-coming journalist-travel writer ( South from Barbary: Along the Slave Routes of Libyan Sahara, 2001) who melds the biography with visits to sites of Tamerlane's battles, atrocities, and buildings. Richly describing central Asia's steppe and desert, Marozzi recounts Tamerlane's initial claim on his due portion of Genghis Khan's empire. Following the warlord's widening conquests, Marozzi sorts through the panegyrics and condemnations of chroniclers of the time, whose dominantly opprobrious opinion of Tamerlane descends for the West via Christopher Marlowe's famous drama Tamburlaine (1587) and periodic studies. The previous popular biography (Tamburlaine the Conqueror, by Hilda Hookham, 1962) is out of print, and Uzbekistan has adopted Tamerlane as its national hero, which further recommends Marozzi's fine performance of evoking the past and present of one of history's most lurid empire builders. Gilbert Taylor
Copyright � American Library Association. All rights reserved

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Solid Writing, Great History
By L. Sabin
Just finished Marozzi's book. I can see why some people grew annoyed...its not arranged like a typical history title. But I liked it for that reason. Marozzi's writing is solid too, and the book breezed by. When I finished I was actually a little sad!

Marozzi definitely seemed to be in awe of Tamerlane, and his enthusiasm in turn made me excited for each new chapter. While most of Tamerlane's historic career was quite bloody and brutal, I couldn't help but be enthralled by it. I also couldn't help but be fascinated by Tamerlane's cultural combination of Muslim and Mongol traditions...really interesting reading.

If you like your history on the straight and narrow with little or no author commentary, then you won't like this book. But if you're willing to go off the beaten path a little and read some personal travel musings sprinkled in with the main story, you will enjoy Marozzi's efforts here.

15 of 20 people found the following review helpful.
Heady reading
By G. B. Talovich
It might be inappropriate to say I >enjoyed< a book about a protagonist who decorated the scenes of his victories with pyramids of skulls. However, the book is absorbing. The author writes well, with skill, knowledge, and at times quiet humor. His comments on conditions in Temur's lands today were very interesting, connecting the past to the present.

I probably had better than average knowledge of Temur, knew about his coffin lid, and so forth, but my knowledge was, at best sketchy. Didn't Handel have a hand in writing an opera about him? I had never figured out what Mongols were doing ruling India. This book filled in vivid details about this fascinating, but almost forgotten, page of history.

Fortunately, my decision to buy the book was not influenced by the reviewer who complains about Marozzi's use of Marlowe's play. Actually, the play figures very briefly in the book. It provides an intriguing contrast of the perception or dramatization of Temur and the historical facts. For that matter, I wish he had commented on Handel's opera, too.

Readers are sure to ... well, I shouldn't say enjoy it, but you will want to read this book.

8 of 18 people found the following review helpful.
Overly dramatic
By Allan B. Stevenson
Marozzi keeps using phrases such as gold and precious stones, and uses repetitive dramatic language to describe every battle. The book is interesting in spite of the unsophisticated writing.

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Jumat, 18 April 2014

[F905.Ebook] Fee Download Java Precisely (MIT Press), by Peter Sestoft

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Java Precisely (MIT Press), by Peter Sestoft

The third edition of Java Precisely provides a concise description of the Java programming language, version 8.0. It offers a quick reference for the reader who has already learned (or is learning) Java from a standard textbook and who wants to know the language in more detail. The book presents the entire Java programming language and essential parts of the class libraries: the collection classes, the input-output classes, the stream libraries and Java 8's facilities for parallel programming, and the functional interfaces used for that.

Though written informally, the book describes the language in detail and offers many examples. For clarity, most of the general rules appear on left-hand pages with the relevant examples directly opposite on the right-hand pages. All examples are fragments of legal Java programs. The complete ready-to-run example programs are available on the book's website.

This third edition adds material about functional parallel processing of arrays; default and static methods on interfaces; a brief description of the memory model and visibility across concurrent threads; lambda expressions, method reference expressions, and the related functional interfaces; and stream processing, including parallel programming and collectors.

  • Sales Rank: #184454 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-03-25
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x .50" w x 8.00" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 216 pages

Review

Unlike most Java books, this one does not try to teach programming. It is a reference book on the language, which is exactly what I need for my course. The approach is especially useful because of the ingenious use of systematic examples that I can pick and choose from to demo in the lecture. There is really nothing quite like this approach in any other text of which I am aware.

(J. Stanley Warford, Professor of Computer Science, Pepperdine University)

About the Author
Peter Sestoft is Professor of Computer Science and Head of the Software and Systems Section at the IT University of Copenhagen.

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Minggu, 13 April 2014

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Hard Drive: Bill Gates and the Making of the Microsoft Empire.From Publisher

  • Sales Rank: #13795843 in Books
  • Original language: German
  • Binding: Hardcover

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Rabu, 09 April 2014

[B895.Ebook] Download Managerial Economics, by Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor

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Managerial Economics, by Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor

Teach today's MBA-level learners and future professionals how to use economics most effectively to solve business problems with this breakthrough book. Froeb/McCann/Ward/Shor's MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS, 4E covers traditional material using a problem-based approach built around common business mistakes. Models are used sparingly, and then only to the extent that they assist readers in determining why mistakes are made and how to fix them. This edition's succinct, fast-paced presentation and challenging, interactive applications place the reader in the role of a decision maker who has to not only identify profitable decisions, but also implement them. The lively book and new corresponding online MindTap learning resources provides an excellent ongoing reference for future or current professionals pursuing business careers.

  • Sales Rank: #13703 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-01-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.50" h x 7.50" w x .50" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 352 pages

About the Author
Professor Froeb received his undergraduate degree from Stanford University and his Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin. When the antitrust agencies began using his models to predict the competitive effects of mergers, his academic research passed what he calls "a market test." This resulted in his 2003 appointment to Chief Economist of the Federal Trade Commission where he enforced the antitrust and consumer protection laws of the United States. He also managed 75 economists who tore down barriers to competition (often erected by well-meaning bureaucrats). In July 2005 Dr. Froeb returned to Vanderbilt University where today he holds the William Oehmig Chair of Entrepreneurship and Free Enterprise. He used to win the "Most Outstanding Teacher" award, but now he finishes behind his co-author, Brian McCann. His textbook, MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS: A PROBLEM-SOLVING APPROACH is well recognized for teaching students to apply economics to real business problems. It is filled with real world problems (and solutions) from Professor Froeb's students and clients. Dr. Froeb's research focuses on the economics of competition policy. He has taught at Tulane University, worked at the U.S. Department of Justice, and spent a year at the University of Chicago Law School.

Dr. Brian T. McCann has taught courses in managerial economics, strategic management, and entrepreneurship at the undergraduate, MBA and executive education levels. He holds an MBA from Vanderbilt University where he earned the Founder's Medal as the top graduate of the class. Dr. McCann received his doctoral training in strategic management at Purdue University's Krannert School of Management where he was awarded the Ross Fellowship, the Krannert Certificate for Distinguished Teaching, and the Purdue Research Foundation Research Grant. His more than 10 years of industry experience include operating a residential land development company, serving as the CFO for an Internet start-up, and implementing new strategic initiatives for a non-profit economic development group. In addition to co-authoring this MBA-level textbook in managerial economics, Dr. McCann's work has appeared or is forthcoming in journals, such as STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT JOURNAL, JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT, and JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES. His current research interests span strategic management and entrepreneurship and include the performance implications of firm agglomeration, the effects of ownership structure on competitive behaviors, and the role of threshold-based decision making in the entrepreneurial process.

Dr. Mike Ward has taught courses in Managerial Economics, Industrial Organization and Business Strategy, Human Resource Economics, and Economics and Regulation of Information. He has spent nearly two decades in academia, holding positions at the University of Illinois and the University of Texas at Arlington where he is currently Professor of Economics in the Business School. Prior to returning to academia, Professor Ward served as an Economist at the Federal Trade Commission for four years attempting to tear down barriers to competition (though he was not managed by Professor Froeb). Dr. Ward's research focuses on the economics of innovation and competition. He earned his undergraduate degree in mathematics and economics from UCLA and his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Chicago.

Dr. Mike Shor has taught courses in game theory, pricing, law and economics, industrial organization, and behavioral economics. He is currently at the Department of Economics at the University of Connecticut. Prior to UConn, Professor Shor taught at the business school at Vanderbilt University, where he was twice elected the best professor by the graduating MBA class. Dr. Shor earned his undergraduate degree in foreign affairs and economics from the University of Virginia, and his Ph.D. in economics from Rutgers University. Professor Shor's research is focused on industrial organization and behavioral economics. His interdisciplinary research has appeared in journals in accounting, marketing, information systems, and psychology, as well as economics.

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Superb!
By TFarwell
I will admit to knowing Dr. Froeb which serves to only heighten my praise for this book and his approach to teaching this subject matter. He starts each area of study with real world examples and then expands to broader concepts and economic models so you can relate and apply the concepts. Frankly, all econ textbooks should use this approach as most seem all too mired in academic, theoretical, blather in place of practical, decision-making, applications. It's also a fascinating read for anyone interested in managerial economics, from students to those interested in learning about smart business modeling and analytics. Ultimately, as a B-School student, you want very relevant, career-enhancing, knowledge.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Good thing because they would've cost our company lots of ...
By Matthew E. Nemeth
This book has all the answers. And by all I mean, "ALL". I was in a meeting the other day and someone simply mentioned the terms "pivot table" and "drill down". Using my Froebian knowledge I figured they were trying to pull one over. Sure enough they were and had little knowledge over what they said. I promptly ignored and dismissed them. Good thing because they would've cost our company lots of money with their aggressive and ill informed ways.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent text.
By Adam A. Guerrero
I just finished reviewing this book for a managerial economics class I teach for MBAs. This book is great for more applied programs geared towards working professionals and problem-based learning. Very well-written, even for those without a background in economics, but still insightful for those who do. I will likely supplement some of the chapters with more quantitatively-oriented notes since the text is a little light, and I suspect it will work well. :-)

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Sabtu, 05 April 2014

[D176.Ebook] Download Managing for Quality and Performance Excellence, by James R. Evans, William M. Lindsay

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Packed with current examples, cases, and illustrations, market-leading MANAGING FOR QUALITY AND PERFORMANCE EXCELLENCE, 10e focuses on the fundamental principles of total quality and emphasizes high-performance management practices, such as those reflected in the Baldrige Criteria. Written by experienced leaders in the fields of performance management and quality, the text delivers the definitive resource for coverage of ISO 9000 certification, Six Sigma, and the U.S. Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award standards. A wealth of current examples from leading organizations throughout the world reflects quality as they emphasize the practical aspects of the book's managerial focus and pertinent technical topics. You can efficiently prepare to become an ASQ Certified Quality Manager, as this edition covers most of the Body of Knowledge required for ASQ certification. It's everything you need -- now and throughout your career -- to ensure quality management success.

  • Sales Rank: #56496 in Books
  • Brand: South-Western Pub
  • Published on: 2016-01-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 1.30" h x 8.20" w x 10.10" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 701 pages
Features
  • South-Western Pub

About the Author
James R. Evans is a professor in the Department of Operations, Business Analytics, and Information Systems in the Lindner College of Business at the University of Cincinnati. His served as president of the Decision Sciences Institute 1997-1998 and 11 years on the Board of Examiners and Panel of Judges for the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award. He has been editor of the Quality Management Journal, published by the American Society for Quality, and served on editorial boards of numerous other journals. Dr. Evans has published more than 90 refereed papers and more than 30 editions of books. During the annual Quality Congress in May 2004, the American Society for Quality presented Dr. Evans and co-author Bill Lindsay with the Philip B. Crosby Medal for writing THE MANAGEMENT AND CONTROL OF QUALITY, 6E. The Crosby medal was presented "for authoring a distinguished book contributing significantly to the extension of the philosophy and application of the principles, methods, and techniques of quality management."

William M. Lindsay is Professor Emeritus of Management at Northern Kentucky University. In addition to coauthoring eight editions of MANAGING FOR QUALITY AND PERFORMANCE EXCELLENCE (including predecessors), he is the coauthor of TOTAL QUALITY AND ORGANIZATION DEVELOPMENT. He served as an examiner for the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award for four years, as a judge for the Kentucky Quality Award for five years, and as a judge for the Seasongood Innovation Awards for the city of Cincinnati for three years. He is a senior member and past president of the Cincinnati Chapter of the Institute of Industrial Engineers, past president of the Cincinnati Chapter of the Association for Quality and Participation, and a member of the American Society for Quality, in addition to other professional organizations. Dr. Lindsay continues to teach MBA courses in quality management and project management. He serves as a board member of CLASP, a local nonprofit after-school program for elementary-age children, and is an active volunteer at his church. He earned a BSIE from the Georgia Institute of Technology, an MS in engineering from the University of Cincinnati, and an MBA and Ph.D. from Georgia State University.

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Do not buy the Kindle version if you can help it.
By Tuck
While I'm interested in the subject and the book is good, the format is terrible in ways that while I'll try to describe, I won't be able to fully express. On the kindle for pc if I scroll my mouse wheel it moves down 1. A nice, smooth big roll of the wheel? 1. Then the end of the page comes like a wall, taking extra effort to move to the next page.

Reading on my kindle is no better. You can't change the pages like you would with a normal book. To read the pages at all I have to resize every single page, again and again.

With this book I will learn some things about quality, but my big take away will be to never order a Cengage eTextbook. In fact, I'll never take or encourage anyone to take a class in which they can't buy a used cengage book.

In short, I'm spending more time fighting changing pages than absorbing knowledge. I have never been so disappointed with a book in my life. Were I rating this book solely on content it would rate much higher, but as it is, I must give it one star. Ironic that many of the points in this textbook apply to the situation I've found myself in. My expectations were not met, and there is no mechanism for even the slightest satisfaction. I regret that as this is a digital version, I cannot burn it.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Loaded with relevant information.
By Good Reviews
This covers the general history of quality assurance, especially in the last 100 years, and does a good job of presenting numerous case studies with often recent examples in manufacturing and services. Used as a textbook in classes, it is also an excellent reference book.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
good condition!
By Jewels0417
Necessary purchase, good condition!

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Rabu, 02 April 2014

[C727.Ebook] Free PDF The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century, by George Friedman

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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century, by George Friedman

A fascinating, eye-opening and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the U.S. and the world from one of our most incisive futurists.

In his thought-provoking new book, George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR—the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firm—focuses on what he knows best, the future. Positing that civilization is at the dawn of a new era, he offers a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century all based on his own thorough analysis and research. For example, The U.S.-Jihadist war will be replaced by a new cold war with Russia; China’s role as a world power will diminish; Mexico will become an important force on the geopolitical stage; and new technologies and cultural trends will radically alter the way we live (and fight wars). Riveting reading from first to last, The Next 100 Years is a fascinating exploration of what the future holds for all of us.

For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.Stratfor.com

  • Sales Rank: #15960 in Books
  • Published on: 2010-01-26
  • Released on: 2010-01-26
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.96" h x .87" w x 5.16" l, .75 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 253 pages

Amazon.com Review
Amazon Best of the Month, January 2009: "Be Practical, Expect the Impossible." So declares George Friedman, chief intelligence officer and founder of Strategic Forecasting, Inc. (Stratfor), a private intelligence agency whose clients include foreign government agencies and Fortune 500 companies. Gathering information from its global network of operatives and analysts (drawing the nickname "the Shadow CIA"), Stratfor produces thoughtful and genuinely engrossing analysis of international events daily, from possible outcomes of the latest Pakistan/India tensions to the hierarchy of Mexican drug cartels to challenges to Obama's nascent administration. In The Next 100 Years, Friedman undertakes the impossible (or improbable) challenge of forecasting world events through the 21st century. Starting with the premises that "conventional political analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination" and "common sense will be wrong," Friedman maps what he sees as the likeliest developments of the future, some intuitive, some surprising: more (but less catastrophic) wars; Russia's re-emergence as an aggressive hegemonic power; China's diminished influence in international affairs due to traditional social and economic imbalances; and the dawn of an American "Golden Age" in the second half of the century. Friedman is well aware that much of what he predicts will be wrong--unforeseeable events are, of course, unforeseen--but through his interpretation of geopolitics, one gets the sense that Friedman's guess is better than most. --Jon Foro

From Publishers Weekly
With a unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling, Friedman (Americas Secret War) offers a global tour of war and peace in the upcoming century. The author asserts that the United States power is so extraordinarily overwhelming that it will dominate the coming century, brushing aside Islamic terrorist threats now, overcoming a resurgent Russia in the 2010s and 20s and eventually gaining influence over space-based missile systems that Friedman names battle stars. Friedman is the founder of Stratfor, an independent geopolitical forecasting company, and his authoritative-sounding predictions are based on such factors as natural resources and population cycles. While these concrete measures lend his short-term forecasts credence, the later years of Friedmans 100-year cycle will provoke some serious eyebrow raising. The armed border clashes between Mexico and the United States in the 2080s seem relatively plausible, but the space war pitting Japan and Turkey against the United States and allies, prognosticated to begin precisely on Thanksgiving Day 2050, reads as fantastic (and terrifying) science fiction. Whether all of the visions in Friedmans crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment. (Feb.)
Copyright � Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

From Booklist
Friedman, author and founder of a forecasting company, sets out to provide a sense of the twenty-first century. He is confident that rather than being on the verge of decline, the U.S. has actually just begun its ascent and will be the center of power. This is a book about unintended consequences and how the constraints of time and place impact the behavior of individuals and nations and offer a view of future events. With many unknowns and acknowledging potential for error, Friedman carefully explains his position on the ultimate collapse of Russia, our next opponent after the Islamic conflicts, and he evaluates China and concludes it will not become a major threat. He provides thoughtful rationale for Japan, Turkey, and Poland to emerge as great powers, and his theories are fascinating on a confrontation between the U.S. and Mexico, a major economic force at the end of the century. This is an excellent book and will intrigue many library patrons. --Mary Whaley

Most helpful customer reviews

542 of 623 people found the following review helpful.
Predictio ad Absurdum
By Dianne Roberts
Although I am a large fan of America's Secret War and respect Mr. Friedman's logical thinking and intelligence, this book is an undertaking so far beyond the capability of man -trying to outline how the next 100 years of history will look- that even though it started off captivating it ultimately left me feeling like the whole thing was a fool's errand. It's not that the author is illogical or a nutcase as some of the negative reviewers have suggested, it's just that there's no way to meaningfully try to predict the simply unpredictable, regardless of the complexity of your analysis. And as the author stretches his future history farther and farther away from the present it simply becomes an implausibility on top of an implausibility on top of another implausibility to the point that any value the reader could derive nearly evaporates and I wish I had spent my time reading actual history.

Of course the author believes some rough prediction of the future is possible based on trends analysis, an understanding of strategic nature, and other such information. I immediately concede that trying to predict the future is not only necessary as a basis for security planning but can be done profitably over maybe 10 years, 20 at the extreme, but only if you build in a huge amount of risk management / "reserve" into your planning results to account for the inevitable unexpected. Thus my critique is simply with the overly ambitious timeline of the author rather than the endeavor itself.

There are some positives of the book which were informative and argue in favor of reading perhaps the first half for pertinent information and analysis. This information revolves around such things as brief overviews of European history and it's rise to power, a brief and plausible (though not necessarily entirely convincing) theory of a cyclical nature of American politics/economics/history, explanations of Russia's geostrategic challenge and how it has historically approached it, global demographics (birth rates declining, the reasons why they are declining and the possible results) and some highlights of the Chinese economy and political system in addition to some other fascinating minor topics. Frankly these topics could have easily formed the basis for an excellent book that tries to project what they could mean over a more modest timeframe, which coupled with Mr. Friedman's direct and straight to the point writing style would have been well worth it. But beyond this the book is more interesting as a work of science fiction than a source of illumination or fuel for strategic analysis.

Even over the relatively strong first half of the book or so there were some things that struck me as cautionary flags with regards to the author's conclusions. Mr. Friedman is Bismarckian to a very high degree, and pretty much limits his assumptions of state behavior to each state trying to enforce a balance of power amongst all other states within its means. There is seemingly no consideration of moral factors, such as alignment of like minded cultures or political/economic systems because they are like minded, in his analysis. His explanation of US grand strategy culminates in what strikes me, as an active duty US Navy Officer, as incongruous. (Which I can't figure since he has close military ties and his son is also in the military.) He essentially claims that US grand strategy is to ensure dominance of the oceans, which is correct but only a single facet of a much more variegated and complex animal. But in his analysis of how this grand strategy has influenced American action he tries to explain that this has motivated America to intervene in Kosovo and Iraq, i.e. to forestall an eventual Eurasian power from building a Navy that can challenge ours! Serbia and Al-Qaeda seemed pretty far from that goal to provide the clarifying rational of American behavior, and this explanation fails to account why we are doing nothing to forestall Chinese and Indian naval developments, and why the previous CNO and current CJCS, Adm. Mike Mullen, launched the "1,000 ship Navy" designed to reduce the need for enlarging the US Navy size by leveraging closer ties with allied nations' navies and developing their naval capabilities synergistically. He also claims that as part of our strategy of preventing a dominant Eurasian continental power we went into Iraq to intentionally de-stabilize central Asia. Again, this flies completely in the face of my entire personal experience in the military, as so many of our forces are working themselves to the bone to try to re-stabilize the region away from weak and antagonistic states that allowed the growth of radical Islam to stronger, more functioning entities that can integrate better with the world and root out Islamic fundamentalism on its home territory. Such a change requires a period of instability to go from a "bad" regime to a "good" one, but that necessary instability is a daunting obstacle being actively tackled and not a goal. (Whether what we are doing is a pipe dream or not is an entirely different matter, but I personally find his explanation of our current strategy simply false, if not quixotic.) Instead it is the overtly stated belief of the US strategic community that it is exactly instability and/or weak autocratic based regimes that causes groups like Al-Qaeda to operate. Other concerns I have with his analysis are that Iran, especially a nuclear Iran, makes virtually no appearance, nor does India. Also, in my subjective opinion, he completely under-rates the strength and staying power of radical Islam essentially claiming that is already defeated and won't even be a factor beyond the mid 2010's, and thus he more or less ignores it.

And although it is probably ridiculous to critique an absurdity, there were some issues I had with his analysis of the period of the 2040's and beyond. He envisions an American space based strategy with three very large (i.e. hundreds to thousands of crewmembers) space stations he calls "battle stars" forming its core. Each would be a command and control node as well as being armed with directed energy and kinetic weapons, and he claims that they will be built under the assumption that they are invulnerable. Yet given the delicate nature of lightweight space structures (in order to be able to get them into space at an affordable cost) and the relative ease of anti-satellite weapons to wreak massive damage on such a system cheaply, his assumption that the US will think they are invulnerable flies completely in the face of a technological reality that is already widely recognized in the US space community. Last, he also envisions hypersonic aircraft providing close air support for ground forces, which is frankly ridiculous. There is more I could quibble with his far out year predictions, but honestly what would be the point?

An odd book. Mr. Friedman has some formidable strengths that shone brilliantly in America's Secret War, and glimmer here and there in the Next 100 Years, but beyond the midway point the book sadly devolves into the absurd.

35 of 38 people found the following review helpful.
Playing with the crystal ball
By Alaturka
If it were not for the background and the reputation of the author, it would be easy to dismiss this book as surreal and way too imaginative. On the other hand Friedman should be commended for having the courage to look into the far future, beyond current trends and fads, and giving us a taste of international developments likely to happen within the next century.

He does a good job in preparing the reader to expect the unexpected to happen based on past history. What may sound silly now, may in fact be feasible in the future, and not necessarily far future either.

Pages are packed with very interesting insights and not surprisingly, USA is the center of history in the 21st century. Was 20th century not an American century also? Other players come on to the stage though, and as a Turk, I was really puzzled by his assertion of Turkey becoming a key global power player. It is hard to imagine now Turkey becoming much more than a regional superpower within next 50 years. It would require a succesful reformation movement in Islam for a non-Arab Muslim country to be able to lead the Muslim block, not to mention a reduction of oil based wealth creation in key Arab states that would force them to look for alliances beyond USA.

He makes a case for how the shift in demographics, mainly the drastic drop in birth rates, will alter how the history flows. His arguments and methods give us a glimpse of how a professional analyst applies his trade.

I did not agree with some of the technology related predictions and analysis. This seems his weakness and he was way off. Nuclear power will dominate for sure before we beam in microwave power from space. Solar energy is not free, except for solar heating. Creation of a photovoltaic cell consumes more energy than the cell is capable of producing in many years for example, not to mention the energy cost of hauling them into space. There were many such far-fetched ideas and assertions. Friedman should have consulted some more knowledgeable people on these issues.

Finally, though he does warn us that this is simply a what-if game, and an example of possible political developments to come, his WWIII scenario, where USA fights a Turkish-Japanese allience was indeed far-fetched.

His assertions and analysis should be compared with that of Brzezinski in the Grand Chessboard for example, where he also makes some predictions on the future of international politics, and there are glaring differences.

Overall an interesting book to read, well written and well delivered.

94 of 118 people found the following review helpful.
Smart man, but dead wrong about Asia
By Kathryn J. O'hehir
Everyone praises "America's Secret War" for Friedman's in-depth knowledge of both the U.S. military, and 25 years experience in studying Eurasia. However, it is a far leap to predict the next hundred years and expect to be taken seriously by applying strict geopolitical ideology to the world to the absence of any and all other significant factors and historical "twists of fate," as in a rogue nuclear weapon/s?

Either it is of no interest to him, or he has far less area of expertise in Asia itself, but to write off China in one small, vague, chapter is an enormous disservice, completely without any supporting data that by 2020 China will "destabilize." In 2008-9 the entire world banking system "destabilized" to the surprise of many, and yet China's did not, has not; and possesses the largest liquid assets on the planet, of which they have invested heavily in U.S. Treasury bonds. His lack of any mention of the New World's banking was an obvious oversight.

Additionally, his premise that, to summarize, Japan will again expand as it did prior to WWII and will again take over parts of Mainland China is laughable. China has the largest standing military in the world. No, they do not possess much of an navy, but it has more than enough aircraft to do the exact reverse, which is physically invade Japan to put an immediate stop to Japanese aggression. Boots on the ground are quite cheap, and China has lots and lots of boots. And the money to keep them there.

Does Friedman believe Nanking has forgotten? China is an excellent observer of other cultures' mistakes. When the Chinese government converted and moves into a capitalist driven economy, they did not have the problems and horrors Russia had, because they were astute observers.

China does not have a history of aggression toward other countries (if one excludes Tibet), but I live in China, and I have no fear now or in the future that Japan will ever be able to "convince" the Chinese of their need for Chinese materials and labor should be satisfied with a Japanese presence. Not in this century and not in the next.

And, finally, it is as if Africa and India have no import in the next 100 years. He does not even bother to mention them.

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A Day at A Time Gamblers Anonymous, by Anonymous

A Day at a Time is an essential recovery tool for compulsive gamblers, these daily reflections and prayers offer us hope, support, and guidance throughout the year.

A Day at a Time is an essential recovery tool for compulsive gamblers, these daily reflections and prayers offer us hope, support, and guidance throughout the year. It also addresses the issues and fears often faced by those of us in recovery.

  • Sales Rank: #364752 in Books
  • Brand: Unknown
  • Published on: 1994-04-19
  • Released on: 1994-04-19
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 5.70" h x .80" w x 3.30" l, .36 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 368 pages
Features
  • Gamblers Anonymous: A Day at a Time

About the Author
Anonymous Anonymous is a contributor for Hazelden Publications including Alcoholics Anonymous Big Book 4th Edition.

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Great Informational Book:
By William H. Deroy
I am a member of GA and I've had 6 previous copies of this book, but I have given them away to newer members in the problem.
This is a book of complete self examination for help in arresting this illness.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Amazon Customer
Its a good book to follow if you need some direction in your life.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By SweetTea
Good for anyone use

See all 12 customer reviews...

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